Final Score: Hurricanes 4 - Lightning 2
Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Hurricanes @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Hurricanes | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 66 | 78 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 2.7 | 3.0 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 4 |
| Stat | Hurricanes | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 65 | 64 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.5 | 3.6 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Win percentage | 63% | 62% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 65% |
Recent Results
Hurricanes
vs St. Louis Blues
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Calgary Flames
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Edmonton Oilers
Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Vancouver Canucks
Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Seattle Kraken
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Detroit Red Wings
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ New York Rangers
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Ottawa Senators
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
Lightning
vs Detroit Red Wings
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Buffalo Sabres
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Winnipeg Jets
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Minnesota Wild
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Buffalo Sabres
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Florida Panthers
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1