Final Score: Red Wings 1 - Lightning 4
Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Red Wings @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Wings | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 46 | 49 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.0 | 2.9 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 6 |
| Stat | Red Wings | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 65 | 63 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.0 | 3.6 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 62% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 55% | 63% |
Recent Results
Red Wings
@ Florida Panthers
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ New Jersey Devils
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Florida Panthers
Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Nashville Predators
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Ottawa Senators
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Utah Mammoth
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Colorado Avalanche
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Colorado Avalanche
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
Lightning
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Buffalo Sabres
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Winnipeg Jets
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Minnesota Wild
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Buffalo Sabres
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Florida Panthers
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Buffalo Sabres
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3