Final Score: Lightning 6 - Kraken 2
Tuesday, March 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Kraken
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Kraken |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 7 | 1 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 1 |
| Stat | Lightning | Kraken |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 65 | 66 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.6 | 2.9 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.8 | 3.0 |
| Win percentage | 62% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 61% | 49% |
Recent Results
Lightning
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Detroit Red Wings
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Buffalo Sabres
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Winnipeg Jets
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Minnesota Wild
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Buffalo Sabres
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
Kraken
vs Florida Panthers
Mar 15, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Vancouver Canucks
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Colorado Avalanche
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Nashville Predators
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Ottawa Senators
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs St. Louis Blues
Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Vancouver Canucks
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ St. Louis Blues
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Dallas Stars
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4