Final Score: Lightning 5 - Oilers 2
Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Oilers
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 23 | 24 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 3.0 | 2.9 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 1 |
| Stat | Lightning | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 67 | 70 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.8 | 3.4 |
| Win percentage | 63% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 63% | 53% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ Vancouver Canucks
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Seattle Kraken
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Detroit Red Wings
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Buffalo Sabres
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Winnipeg Jets
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Minnesota Wild
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Buffalo Sabres
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
Oilers
vs Florida Panthers
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs San Jose Sharks
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Nashville Predators
Mar 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ St. Louis Blues
Mar 13, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Dallas Stars
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Colorado Avalanche
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Ottawa Senators
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ San Jose Sharks
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5