Final Score: Lightning 3 - Flames 4
Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Flames
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 31 | 23 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.1 | 3.0 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 1 |
| Stat | Lightning | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 68 | 69 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.6 | 2.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| Win percentage | 63% | 41% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 64% | 53% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ Edmonton Oilers
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Vancouver Canucks
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Seattle Kraken
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Detroit Red Wings
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Buffalo Sabres
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Winnipeg Jets
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Minnesota Wild
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
Flames
vs Florida Panthers
Mar 20, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs St. Louis Blues
Mar 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Detroit Red Wings
Mar 16, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ New York Islanders
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ New Jersey Devils
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ New York Rangers
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Washington Capitals
Mar 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Ottawa Senators
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Dallas Stars
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6