Final Score: Senators 4 - Flames 1
Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET
Senators @ Flames
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Senators | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 30 | 29 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 3 |
| Stat | Senators | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 60 | 60 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.2 | 3.0 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 40% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 48% | 50% |
Recent Results
Senators
@ Edmonton Oilers
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Detroit Red Wings
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs New Jersey Devils
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Colorado Avalanche
Jan 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
Flames
vs Dallas Stars
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Anaheim Ducks
Mar 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Los Angeles Kings
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ San Jose Sharks
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Edmonton Oilers
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs San Jose Sharks
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Minnesota Wild
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Anaheim Ducks
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Washington Capitals
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3