Final Score: Senators 4 - Oilers 5
Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET
Senators @ Oilers
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Senators | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 24 | 34 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average goals | 2.8 | 3.3 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Senators | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 59 | 61 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 52% |
Recent Results
Senators
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Detroit Red Wings
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs New Jersey Devils
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Colorado Avalanche
Jan 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Nashville Predators
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
Oilers
@ San Jose Sharks
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Los Angeles Kings
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
@ Anaheim Ducks
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Calgary Flames
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Minnesota Wild
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs San Jose Sharks
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Anaheim Ducks
Jan 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Washington Capitals
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6