Final Score: Lightning 2 - Bruins 1
Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET
Lightning @ Bruins
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Bruins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 54 | 80 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 2.7 | 3.2 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 1 |
| Stat | Lightning | Bruins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 79 | 79 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| Win percentage | 61% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 72% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ Montreal Canadiens
Apr 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Ottawa Senators
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Buffalo Sabres
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Boston Bruins
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Apr 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Nashville Predators
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Ottawa Senators
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Seattle Kraken
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Minnesota Wild
Mar 24, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
Bruins
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Florida Panthers
Apr 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Dallas Stars
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Minnesota Wild
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Buffalo Sabres
Mar 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Detroit Red Wings
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2