Canadiens @ Penguins

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Canadiens 5 - Penguins 6
Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Montreal
Canadiens
1-0 Rating 1535
Form: LLLLW
5 – 6
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Penguins +0.1
Pittsburgh
Penguins
1-0 Rating 1493
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Canadiens Penguins
All-time wins 140 85
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.7 2.9
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Canadiens Penguins
Games played 1 1
Avg goals scored 3.0 7.0
Avg goals conceded 2.0 0.0
Win percentage 100% 100%
Away win % / Home win % 100% -