Rangers @ Capitals

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Rangers 1 - Capitals 3
Friday, October 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
New York
Rangers
4-1 Rating 1488
Form: LWWWW
1 – 3
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Washington Capitals +0.7
Washington
Capitals
2-1 Rating 1525
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rangers Capitals
All-time wins 142 150
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.2 3.2
Last meeting 8 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Rangers Capitals
Games played 5 3
Avg goals scored 3.2 3.7
Avg goals conceded 1.6 2.7
Win percentage 80% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 100%