Senators @ Sabres

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Senators 2 - Sabres 1
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Ottawa
Senators
9-7 Rating 1515
Form: WLLWL
2 – 1
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Buffalo Sabres +0.6
Buffalo
Sabres
7-7 Rating 1536
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Senators Sabres
All-time wins 80 94
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 2.6 2.8
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Senators Sabres
Games played 16 14
Avg goals scored 3.2 3.1
Avg goals conceded 3.2 3.5
Win percentage 56% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 50%