Sabres @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Sabres 5 - Maple Leafs 4
Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Buffalo
Sabres
3-4 Rating 1534
Form: WLLWL
5 – 4
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Buffalo Sabres +0.0
Toronto
Maple Leafs
3-4 Rating 1473
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Sabres Maple Leafs
All-time wins 130 93
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.6 2.9
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Sabres Maple Leafs
Games played 7 7
Avg goals scored 2.7 3.4
Avg goals conceded 3.7 3.3
Win percentage 43% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 50%