Maple Leafs @ Canadiens

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Maple Leafs 0 - Canadiens 0
Saturday, December 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Toronto
Maple Leafs
8-10 Rating 1471
Form: LLWLL
@
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Montreal Canadiens +1.1
Montreal
Canadiens
11-6 Rating 1544
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Canadiens
All-time wins 112 147
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average goals 3.0 3.2
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Canadiens
Games played 18 17
Avg goals scored 3.6 3.6
Avg goals conceded 3.3 3.1
Win percentage 44% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 56%