Rangers @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Rangers 4 - Maple Leafs 5
Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
New York
Rangers
7-4 Rating 1489
Form: WWLLW
4 – 5
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.3
Toronto
Maple Leafs
5-6 Rating 1474
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rangers Maple Leafs
All-time wins 113 89
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 3.5 3.2
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Rangers Maple Leafs
Games played 11 11
Avg goals scored 3.0 3.5
Avg goals conceded 2.2 3.2
Win percentage 64% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 20% 43%