Lightning @ Rangers

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Lightning 1 - Rangers 4
Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Lightning
4-1 Rating 1549
Form: LWWWW
1 – 4
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.0
New York
Rangers
5-2 Rating 1488
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Rangers
All-time wins 62 65
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 2.9 3.1
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Rangers
Games played 5 7
Avg goals scored 3.2 3.3
Avg goals conceded 2.4 1.9
Win percentage 80% 71%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 100%