Lightning @ Islanders

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Lightning 5 - Islanders 3
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Lightning
3-1 Rating 1546
Form: LLWWW
5 – 3
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: New York Islanders +0.0
New York
Islanders
2-2 Rating 1495
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Islanders
All-time wins 76 62
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.9 2.7
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Islanders
Games played 4 4
Avg goals scored 2.8 3.2
Avg goals conceded 2.2 2.0
Win percentage 75% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 100%