Kraken @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Kraken 3 - Lightning 4
Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Seattle
Kraken
5-2 Rating 1471
Form: WLWWW
3 – 4
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.1
Tampa Bay
Lightning
4-2 Rating 1545
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Kraken Lightning
All-time wins 2 8
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 1.9 4.2
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Kraken Lightning
Games played 7 6
Avg goals scored 4.1 2.8
Avg goals conceded 2.7 2.7
Win percentage 71% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 80% 100%