Canucks @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Canucks 2 - Lightning 4
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET
Vancouver
Canucks
2-7 Rating 1416
Form: LLLLL
2 – 4
Model Probability
29%
71%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.7
Tampa Bay
Lightning
5-2 Rating 1548
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Canucks Lightning
All-time wins 22 23
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.3 3.2
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Canucks Lightning
Games played 9 7
Avg goals scored 3.1 3.0
Avg goals conceded 4.6 2.7
Win percentage 22% 71%
Away win % / Home win % 17% 100%