| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2009 | 4–3 | Sharks +1 | Ducks +0.2 | ||
| Apr 21, 2009 | 3–4 | Hurricanes +1 | Hurricanes +0.2 | ||
| Apr 21, 2009 | 4–1 | Red Wings +3 | Red Wings +0.4 | ||
| Apr 21, 2009 | 3–1 | Penguins +2 | Flyers +0.1 | ||
| Apr 21, 2009 | 3–2 | Canucks +1 | Blues +0.1 |