| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | 2–4 | Golden Knights +2 | Golden Knights +0.5 | First Round | |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 3–4 | Sabres +1 | Sabres +0.8 | First Round | |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 4–3 | Canadiens +1 | Lightning +0.6 | First Round | |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 1–2 | Avalanche +1 | Avalanche +1.5 | First Round |