| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026 | 3–4 | Oilers +1 | Oilers +0.8 | First Round | |
| Apr 20, 2026 | 2–4 | Stars +2 | Stars +0.7 | First Round | |
| Apr 20, 2026 | 2–3 | Hurricanes +1 | Hurricanes +1.0 | First Round | |
| Apr 20, 2026 | 3–0 | Flyers +3 | Penguins +0.2 | First Round |