Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-30 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-19 | 3–0 | Brighton +3 | Arsenal 49% | |
| 2026-03-04 | 0–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 55% | |
| 2025-12-27 | 2–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 68% | |
| 2025-01-04 | 1–1 | Draw | Arsenal 56% | |
| 2024-08-31 | 1–1 | Draw | Arsenal 68% | |
| 2024-04-06 | 0–3 | Arsenal +3 | Arsenal 52% | |
| 2023-12-17 | 2–0 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 61% | |
| 2023-05-14 | 0–3 | Brighton +3 | Arsenal 58% | |
| 2022-12-31 | 2–4 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 40% | |
| 2022-04-09 | 1–2 | Brighton +1 | Arsenal 64% | |
| 2021-10-02 | 0–0 | Draw | Brighton 38% | |
| 2021-05-23 | 2–0 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 60% | |
| 2020-12-29 | 0–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 41% | |
| 2020-06-20 | 2–1 | Brighton +1 | Arsenal 42% | |
| 2019-12-05 | 1–2 | Brighton +1 | Arsenal 58% | |
| 2019-05-05 | 1–1 | Draw | Arsenal 70% | |
| 2018-12-26 | 1–1 | Draw | Arsenal 47% | |
| 2018-03-04 | 2–1 | Brighton +1 | Arsenal 41% | |
| 2017-10-01 | 2–0 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 64% |