Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-17 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Sunderland 39% | |
| 2023-11-11 | 3–1 | Sunderland +2 | Sunderland 55% | |
| 2023-04-15 | 2–1 | Sunderland +1 | Sunderland 53% | |
| 2022-11-11 | 1–2 | Sunderland +1 | Birmingham 44% | |
| 2018-01-30 | 3–1 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 39% | |
| 2017-12-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Sunderland 56% | |
| 2011-04-16 | 2–0 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 46% | |
| 2010-08-14 | 2–2 | Draw | Sunderland 45% | |
| 2010-03-20 | 3–1 | Sunderland +2 | Sunderland 42% |