Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-02-01 | 0–0 | Draw | Arsenal 45% | |
| 2011-09-24 | 3–0 | Arsenal +3 | Arsenal 52% | |
| 2011-04-24 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Arsenal 40% | |
| 2010-09-11 | 4–1 | Arsenal +3 | Arsenal 52% | |
| 2010-01-20 | 4–2 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 48% | |
| 2010-01-17 | 0–2 | Arsenal +2 | Bolton 44% |