Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-05 | 1–0 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 63% | |
| 2025-03-11 | 3–2 | Bristol Rovers +1 | Bolton 45% | |
| 2024-04-06 | 0–2 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 48% | |
| 2023-12-16 | 1–2 | Bristol Rovers +1 | Bolton 57% | |
| 2023-05-07 | 2–3 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 47% | |
| 2022-12-02 | 1–1 | Draw | Bolton 53% | |
| 2020-01-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Bolton 38% | |
| 2019-10-22 | 0–2 | Bolton +2 | Bristol Rovers 54% | |
| 2017-02-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Bolton 58% | |
| 2016-08-17 | 1–2 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 36% |