Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-08 | 4–3 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 62% | |
| 2024-09-28 | 0–2 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 36% | |
| 2021-05-08 | 1–4 | Bolton +3 | Crawley 39% | |
| 2021-01-02 | 0–1 | Crawley +1 | Bolton 41% |