Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-13 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-29 | Scheduled | |||
| 2025-01-18 | 3–0 | Cardiff +3 | Cardiff 40% | |
| 2024-08-25 | 1–1 | Draw | Swansea 49% | |
| 2024-03-16 | 2–0 | Swansea +2 | Swansea 46% | |
| 2023-09-16 | 2–0 | Cardiff +2 | Cardiff 42% | |
| 2023-04-01 | 2–3 | Swansea +1 | Cardiff 39% | |
| 2022-10-23 | 2–0 | Swansea +2 | Swansea 50% | |
| 2022-04-02 | 0–4 | Swansea +4 | Cardiff 41% | |
| 2021-10-17 | 3–0 | Swansea +3 | Swansea 52% | |
| 2021-03-20 | 0–1 | Cardiff +1 | Swansea 49% | |
| 2020-12-12 | 0–2 | Swansea +2 | Cardiff 43% | |
| 2020-01-12 | 0–0 | Draw | Cardiff 43% | |
| 2019-10-27 | 1–0 | Swansea +1 | Swansea 48% | |
| 2014-02-08 | 3–0 | Swansea +3 | Swansea 49% | |
| 2013-11-03 | 1–0 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 39% | |
| 2011-02-06 | 0–1 | Cardiff +1 | Swansea 45% | |
| 2010-11-07 | 0–1 | Swansea +1 | Cardiff 46% | |
| 2010-04-03 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 47% |