Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-30 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-27 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-05-04 | 1–3 | Nottingham +2 | Chelsea 47% | |
| 2025-10-18 | 0–3 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 45% | |
| 2025-05-25 | 0–1 | Chelsea +1 | Nottingham 39% | |
| 2024-10-06 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 59% | |
| 2024-05-11 | 2–3 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 48% | |
| 2023-09-02 | 0–1 | Nottingham +1 | Chelsea 49% | |
| 2023-05-13 | 2–2 | Draw | Chelsea 59% | |
| 2023-01-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 49% |