Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 3–2 | Birmingham +1 | Coventry 44% | |
| 2025-09-27 | 3–0 | Coventry +3 | Coventry 51% | |
| 2024-04-13 | 3–0 | Birmingham +3 | Coventry 49% | |
| 2023-12-08 | 2–0 | Coventry +2 | Coventry 53% | |
| 2023-04-29 | 2–0 | Coventry +2 | Coventry 56% | |
| 2022-09-17 | 0–0 | Draw | Birmingham 39% | |
| 2022-04-15 | 2–4 | Coventry +2 | Coventry 39% | |
| 2021-11-23 | 0–0 | Draw | Coventry 55% | |
| 2021-01-30 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 37% | |
| 2020-11-20 | 0–0 | Draw | Coventry 46% | |
| 2012-03-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 52% | |
| 2011-08-13 | 1–0 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 53% |