Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-02 | 3–0 | Derby +3 | Derby 64% | |
| 2023-11-28 | 0–1 | Derby +1 | Derby 38% | |
| 2023-01-24 | 1–2 | Derby +1 | Derby 43% | |
| 2022-10-08 | 1–2 | Port Vale +1 | Derby 57% |