Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-25 | 0–1 | Luton +1 | Luton 38% | |
| 2022-07-30 | 0–0 | Draw | Luton 57% | |
| 2022-02-12 | 3–0 | Birmingham +3 | Luton 44% | |
| 2021-08-21 | 0–5 | Birmingham +5 | Luton 55% | |
| 2021-02-13 | 0–1 | Luton +1 | Luton 39% | |
| 2020-11-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Luton 54% | |
| 2020-01-11 | 1–2 | Birmingham +1 | Luton 39% | |
| 2019-10-26 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 45% |