Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-04-03 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 88% | |
| 2018-09-22 | 0–5 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 65% | |
| 2014-01-18 | 4–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 80% | |
| 2013-08-25 | 3–2 | Cardiff +1 | Manchester City 50% |