Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-06 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-21 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-03-14 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 56% | |
| 2025-12-20 | 2–0 | Bristol City +2 | Bristol City 39% | |
| 2025-02-21 | 2–1 | Bristol City +1 | Bristol City 45% | |
| 2024-10-19 | 0–2 | Bristol City +2 | Middlesbrough 49% | |
| 2024-02-10 | 1–2 | Bristol City +1 | Middlesbrough 46% | |
| 2023-11-25 | 3–2 | Bristol City +1 | Bristol City 39% | |
| 2023-04-10 | 2–2 | Draw | Middlesbrough 37% | |
| 2022-11-05 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 44% | |
| 2022-02-19 | 2–1 | Bristol City +1 | Middlesbrough 41% | |
| 2021-08-14 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 47% | |
| 2021-02-23 | 1–3 | Bristol City +2 | Middlesbrough 50% | |
| 2020-10-20 | 0–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Bristol City 49% | |
| 2020-07-11 | 1–3 | Bristol City +2 | Middlesbrough 45% | |
| 2019-08-31 | 2–2 | Draw | Bristol City 50% | |
| 2019-04-02 | 0–1 | Bristol City +1 | Middlesbrough 40% | |
| 2018-08-18 | 0–2 | Middlesbrough +2 | Bristol City 40% | |
| 2018-04-14 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 47% | |
| 2017-12-02 | 2–1 | Bristol City +1 | Bristol City 47% | |
| 2016-01-16 | 1–0 | Bristol City +1 | Middlesbrough 55% | |
| 2015-08-22 | 0–1 | Bristol City +1 | Middlesbrough 57% | |
| 2013-03-09 | 2–0 | Bristol City +2 | Bristol City 36% | |
| 2012-11-24 | 1–3 | Bristol City +2 | Middlesbrough 62% | |
| 2012-03-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 62% | |
| 2011-12-03 | 0–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 36% | |
| 2011-01-15 | 0–4 | Middlesbrough +4 | Bristol City 45% | |
| 2010-10-30 | 1–2 | Bristol City +1 | Middlesbrough 46% | |
| 2010-01-30 | 0–0 | Draw | Middlesbrough 48% |