Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-06 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-15 | 2–2 | Draw | Middlesbrough 48% | |
| 2026-04-03 | 1–2 | Millwall +1 | Middlesbrough 45% | |
| 2025-08-16 | 0–3 | Middlesbrough +3 | Millwall 48% | |
| 2025-04-12 | 1–0 | Millwall +1 | Millwall 42% | |
| 2024-12-14 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 49% | |
| 2024-01-13 | 1–3 | Middlesbrough +2 | Millwall 38% | |
| 2023-08-05 | 0–1 | Millwall +1 | Middlesbrough 46% | |
| 2023-01-14 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 46% | |
| 2022-10-08 | 2–0 | Millwall +2 | Millwall 44% | |
| 2022-03-12 | 0–0 | Draw | Millwall 43% | |
| 2021-11-20 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 42% | |
| 2021-03-20 | 1–0 | Millwall +1 | Millwall 42% | |
| 2020-12-12 | 3–0 | Middlesbrough +3 | Middlesbrough 44% | |
| 2020-07-08 | 0–2 | Middlesbrough +2 | Millwall 49% | |
| 2019-08-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 43% | |
| 2019-01-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 56% | |
| 2018-08-04 | 2–2 | Draw | Millwall 43% | |
| 2018-04-28 | 2–0 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 49% | |
| 2017-12-16 | 2–1 | Millwall +1 | Middlesbrough 38% | |
| 2015-03-03 | 3–0 | Middlesbrough +3 | Middlesbrough 72% | |
| 2014-12-06 | 1–5 | Middlesbrough +4 | Middlesbrough 40% | |
| 2014-04-19 | 1–2 | Millwall +1 | Middlesbrough 60% | |
| 2013-12-21 | 0–2 | Middlesbrough +2 | Millwall 43% | |
| 2013-02-23 | 1–2 | Millwall +1 | Middlesbrough 49% | |
| 2012-09-01 | 3–1 | Millwall +2 | Millwall 41% | |
| 2012-02-21 | 1–3 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 37% | |
| 2011-10-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 55% | |
| 2011-02-19 | 2–3 | Middlesbrough +1 | Millwall 49% | |
| 2010-11-20 | 0–1 | Millwall +1 | Middlesbrough 45% |