Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-02-17 | 0–0 | Draw | Burton 38% | |
| 2017-10-21 | 2–0 | Nottingham +2 | Nottingham 47% | |
| 2017-03-11 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 40% | |
| 2016-08-06 | 4–3 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 50% |