Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | 1–0 | Derby +1 | Derby 54% | |
| 2025-10-18 | 1–0 | Oxford Utd +1 | Oxford Utd 43% | |
| 2025-02-11 | 0–0 | Draw | Derby 43% | |
| 2024-10-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Oxford Utd 45% | |
| 2023-12-29 | 2–3 | Derby +1 | Oxford Utd 40% | |
| 2023-08-15 | 1–2 | Oxford Utd +1 | Derby 48% | |
| 2023-03-11 | 2–3 | Derby +1 | Derby 45% | |
| 2022-07-30 | 1–0 | Derby +1 | Derby 49% |