Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-04 | 0–5 | Brentford +5 | Brentford 44% | |
| 2024-08-31 | 3–1 | Brentford +2 | Brentford 57% | |
| 2023-03-15 | 0–2 | Brentford +2 | Brentford 43% | |
| 2023-02-04 | 3–0 | Brentford +3 | Brentford 59% | |
| 2022-05-07 | 3–0 | Brentford +3 | Brentford 47% | |
| 2022-01-11 | 4–1 | Southampton +3 | Southampton 43% | |
| 2011-04-30 | 0–3 | Southampton +3 | Southampton 44% | |
| 2010-12-11 | 0–2 | Brentford +2 | Southampton 46% | |
| 2010-01-26 | 1–1 | Draw | Brentford 42% |