Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-01 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-25 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-21 | 1–3 | Millwall +2 | Millwall 41% | |
| 2025-10-21 | 2–0 | Millwall +2 | Millwall 49% | |
| 2025-03-15 | 1–0 | Millwall +1 | Millwall 51% | |
| 2024-11-09 | 1–1 | Draw | Stoke 41% | |
| 2023-12-23 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 45% | |
| 2023-08-26 | 1–0 | Millwall +1 | Millwall 41% | |
| 2023-02-25 | 0–1 | Millwall +1 | Stoke 40% | |
| 2022-07-30 | 2–0 | Millwall +2 | Millwall 45% | |
| 2022-03-19 | 2–0 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 39% | |
| 2021-10-23 | 2–1 | Millwall +1 | Millwall 41% | |
| 2021-04-05 | 1–2 | Millwall +1 | Stoke 46% | |
| 2020-09-12 | 0–0 | Draw | Millwall 47% | |
| 2020-01-11 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 37% | |
| 2019-10-26 | 2–0 | Millwall +2 | Millwall 47% | |
| 2019-04-27 | 0–0 | Draw | Millwall 39% | |
| 2018-12-22 | 1–0 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 63% |