Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-06 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-15 | 1–2 | Swansea +1 | Stoke 38% | |
| 2026-03-07 | 2–0 | Swansea +2 | Swansea 45% | |
| 2025-12-13 | 2–1 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 47% | |
| 2025-02-15 | 3–1 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 46% | |
| 2024-10-05 | 0–0 | Draw | Swansea 46% | |
| 2024-04-10 | 3–0 | Swansea +3 | Swansea 46% | |
| 2023-12-12 | 1–1 | Draw | Stoke 38% | |
| 2023-02-21 | 1–3 | Stoke +2 | Swansea 46% | |
| 2022-08-31 | 1–1 | Draw | Stoke 46% | |
| 2022-02-08 | 3–0 | Stoke +3 | Stoke 45% | |
| 2021-08-17 | 1–3 | Stoke +2 | Swansea 51% | |
| 2021-03-03 | 1–2 | Swansea +1 | Swansea 37% | |
| 2020-10-27 | 2–0 | Swansea +2 | Swansea 44% | |
| 2020-01-25 | 2–0 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 38% | |
| 2019-10-05 | 1–2 | Stoke +1 | Swansea 61% | |
| 2019-04-09 | 3–1 | Swansea +2 | Swansea 50% | |
| 2018-09-18 | 1–0 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 42% | |
| 2018-05-13 | 1–2 | Stoke +1 | Swansea 47% | |
| 2017-12-02 | 2–1 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 46% | |
| 2017-04-22 | 2–0 | Swansea +2 | Stoke 38% | |
| 2016-10-31 | 3–1 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 46% | |
| 2016-04-02 | 2–2 | Draw | Stoke 53% | |
| 2015-10-19 | 0–1 | Stoke +1 | Swansea 43% | |
| 2015-05-02 | 2–0 | Swansea +2 | Swansea 44% | |
| 2014-10-19 | 2–1 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 42% | |
| 2014-02-12 | 1–1 | Draw | Stoke 41% | |
| 2013-11-10 | 3–3 | Draw | Swansea 49% | |
| 2013-01-19 | 3–1 | Swansea +2 | Swansea 53% | |
| 2012-09-29 | 2–0 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 38% | |
| 2012-02-26 | 2–0 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 41% | |
| 2011-10-02 | 2–0 | Swansea +2 | Stoke 37% |