Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-17 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-29 | 0–3 | Swansea +3 | Derby 44% | |
| 2026-02-14 | 2–0 | Derby +2 | Derby 47% | |
| 2025-11-25 | 1–2 | Derby +1 | Swansea 39% | |
| 2025-04-05 | 1–0 | Swansea +1 | Swansea 45% | |
| 2024-11-27 | 1–2 | Swansea +1 | Derby 43% | |
| 2022-04-09 | 2–1 | Swansea +1 | Swansea 53% | |
| 2021-10-02 | 0–0 | Draw | Derby 37% | |
| 2021-05-01 | 2–1 | Swansea +1 | Swansea 65% | |
| 2020-12-16 | 2–0 | Derby +2 | Swansea 45% | |
| 2020-02-08 | 2–3 | Derby +1 | Swansea 47% | |
| 2019-08-10 | 0–0 | Draw | Derby 41% | |
| 2019-05-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Swansea 45% | |
| 2018-12-01 | 2–1 | Derby +1 | Derby 42% | |
| 2011-03-12 | 2–1 | Derby +1 | Swansea 43% | |
| 2010-10-02 | 0–0 | Draw | Swansea 48% | |
| 2010-02-20 | 0–1 | Swansea +1 | Derby 44% |