Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-30 | 5–1 | Nottingham +4 | Nottingham 57% | |
| 2021-12-11 | 1–4 | Nottingham +3 | Swansea 47% | |
| 2021-02-17 | 1–0 | Swansea +1 | Swansea 62% | |
| 2020-11-29 | 0–1 | Swansea +1 | Swansea 39% | |
| 2020-07-15 | 2–2 | Draw | Nottingham 43% | |
| 2019-09-14 | 0–1 | Nottingham +1 | Swansea 52% | |
| 2019-03-30 | 2–1 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 40% | |
| 2018-09-15 | 0–0 | Draw | Swansea 59% | |
| 2011-05-16 | 3–1 | Swansea +2 | Swansea 47% | |
| 2011-05-12 | 0–0 | Draw | Nottingham 42% | |
| 2011-03-19 | 3–2 | Swansea +1 | Swansea 45% | |
| 2010-09-25 | 3–1 | Nottingham +2 | Nottingham 41% | |
| 2010-03-06 | 1–0 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 43% |