Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-03 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-19 | Scheduled | |||
| 2015-02-14 | 3–4 | Watford +1 | Watford 37% | |
| 2014-08-09 | 3–0 | Watford +3 | Watford 44% | |
| 2014-02-22 | 2–0 | Bolton +2 | Watford 36% | |
| 2013-11-23 | 0–1 | Bolton +1 | Watford 50% | |
| 2013-02-02 | 2–1 | Watford +1 | Watford 48% | |
| 2012-09-15 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 49% |