Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-02-26 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester Utd 72% | |
| 2021-11-20 | 4–1 | Watford +3 | Manchester Utd 46% | |
| 2020-02-23 | 3–0 | Manchester Utd +3 | Manchester Utd 59% | |
| 2019-12-22 | 2–0 | Watford +2 | Manchester Utd 46% | |
| 2019-03-30 | 2–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 62% | |
| 2018-09-15 | 1–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 39% | |
| 2018-05-13 | 1–0 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 73% | |
| 2017-11-28 | 2–4 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 47% | |
| 2017-02-11 | 2–0 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 64% | |
| 2016-09-18 | 3–1 | Watford +2 | Manchester Utd 39% | |
| 2016-03-02 | 1–0 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 53% | |
| 2015-11-21 | 1–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 45% |