Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-30 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-07 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-25 | 5–1 | Middlesbrough +4 | Middlesbrough 57% | |
| 2025-11-01 | 3–0 | Watford +3 | Watford 39% | |
| 2025-02-15 | 0–1 | Watford +1 | Middlesbrough 49% | |
| 2024-10-05 | 2–1 | Watford +1 | Watford 41% | |
| 2024-05-04 | 3–1 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 52% | |
| 2023-09-30 | 2–3 | Middlesbrough +1 | Watford 45% | |
| 2023-01-28 | 2–0 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 46% | |
| 2022-08-30 | 2–1 | Watford +1 | Watford 47% | |
| 2021-04-05 | 1–1 | Draw | Watford 52% | |
| 2020-09-11 | 1–0 | Watford +1 | Watford 72% | |
| 2017-01-14 | 0–0 | Draw | Watford 42% | |
| 2016-10-16 | 0–1 | Watford +1 | Middlesbrough 40% | |
| 2015-04-06 | 2–0 | Watford +2 | Watford 41% | |
| 2014-10-25 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 45% | |
| 2014-02-15 | 1–0 | Watford +1 | Watford 47% | |
| 2013-11-09 | 2–2 | Draw | Middlesbrough 36% | |
| 2013-01-12 | 1–2 | Watford +1 | Middlesbrough 47% | |
| 2012-10-06 | 1–2 | Middlesbrough +1 | Watford 41% | |
| 2012-04-28 | 2–1 | Watford +1 | Watford 42% | |
| 2011-11-05 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 55% | |
| 2011-03-19 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 36% | |
| 2010-09-25 | 3–1 | Watford +2 | Watford 48% | |
| 2010-03-27 | 1–1 | Draw | Watford 38% |