Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | 0–0 | Draw | Watford 54% | |
| 2024-11-22 | 2–2 | Draw | Plymouth 37% | |
| 2024-01-01 | 3–3 | Draw | Plymouth 39% | |
| 2023-08-12 | 0–0 | Draw | Watford 48% | |
| 2010-04-10 | 1–0 | Watford +1 | Watford 43% |