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Manchester City vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 71% chance to win.
Final Score: Manchester City 5–1 Burnley
Sat, Sep 27, 2025 · 3:00 PM BST
Championship
Manchester City
2-1-2Rating 2031
Form: DWLLW
5 – 1
Model Probability
71%
Draw 18%
11%
Championship
Burnley
1-1-3Rating 1656
Form: DLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatBurnley
5Games played5
1.8Avg goals scored1.0
1.0Avg goals conceded1.6
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester CityStatBurnley
14All-time wins (17 meetings, 2 draws)1
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
2.8Average goals0.5
Last meeting (2024-01-31): Manchester City 3–1 Burnley