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Derby vs Southampton Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 37% chance to win.
Final Score: Derby 1–1 Southampton
Sat, Oct 4, 2025 · 3:00 PM BST
Championship
Derby
1-4-3Rating 1591
Form: DDLWD
1 – 1
Model Probability
37%
Draw 28%
35%
Championship
Southampton
2-4-2Rating 1750
Form: WDLDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatSouthampton
8Games played8
1.2Avg goals scored1.2
1.8Avg goals conceded1.4
12% / 50% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 50% / 25%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatSouthampton
0All-time wins (2 meetings, 1 draws)1
0Last 2 meetings (1 draws)1
0.5Average goals2.5
Last meeting (2012-02-18): Southampton 4–0 Derby