← Home / England / Championship / Matches / Middlesbrough vs Derby

Middlesbrough vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 45% chance to win.
Final Score: Middlesbrough 2–1 Derby
Sat, Nov 29, 2025 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Middlesbrough
8-6-3Rating 1704
Form: LDWDL
2 – 1
Model Probability
45%
Draw 27%
28%
Championship
Derby
7-5-5Rating 1591
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MiddlesbroughStatDerby
17Games played17
1.3Avg goals scored1.4
1.1Avg goals conceded1.4
47% / 35% / 18%Win / Draw / Loss41% / 29% / 29%
62% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MiddlesbroughStatDerby
11All-time wins (25 meetings, 7 draws)7
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2025-03-01): Middlesbrough 1–0 Derby