← Home / England / Championship / Matches / Leicester vs Derby
Final Score: Leicester 2–1 Derby
Championship
Mon, Dec 29, 2025 · 7:45 PM GMT

Leicester vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Leicester has a 49% chance to win.

8-7-8 · Rating 1556
Form: LLWDW
VS
8-8-7 · Rating 1620
Form: DDWDL
Model Probability
49%
25%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LeicesterStatDerby
23Games played23
1.4Avg goals scored1.4
1.4Avg goals conceded1.3
35% / 30% / 35%Win / Draw / Loss35% / 35% / 30%
36% Home win % / Away win % 45%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LeicesterStatDerby
8All-time wins (10 meetings, 0 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
2.2Average goals0.6
Last meeting (2025-12-06): Derby 1–3 Leicester