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Leicester vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Leicester has a 49% chance to win.
Final Score: Leicester 2–1 Derby
Mon, Dec 29, 2025 · 7:45 PM GMT
Championship
Leicester
8-7-8Rating 1542
Form: LLWDW
2 – 1
Model Probability
49%
Draw 26%
25%
Championship
Derby
8-8-7Rating 1591
Form: DDWDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LeicesterStatDerby
23Games played23
1.4Avg goals scored1.4
1.4Avg goals conceded1.3
35% / 30% / 35%Win / Draw / Loss35% / 35% / 30%
36% Home win % / Away win % 45%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LeicesterStatDerby
8All-time wins (10 meetings, 0 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
2.2Average goals0.6
Last meeting (2025-12-06): Derby 1–3 Leicester