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Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 73% chance to win.
Final Score: Liverpool 1–1 Burnley
Sat, Jan 17, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Liverpool
10-5-6Rating 1964
Form: DDDWW
1 – 1
Model Probability
73%
Draw 17%
11%
Championship
Burnley
3-4-14Rating 1656
Form: DLLDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatBurnley
21Games played21
1.5Avg goals scored1.0
1.3Avg goals conceded2.0
48% / 24% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss14% / 19% / 67%
60% Home win % / Away win % 10%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatBurnley
14All-time wins (18 meetings, 2 draws)2
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
1.9Average goals0.6
Last meeting (2025-09-14): Burnley 0–1 Liverpool